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Libya's government split could result into secession and two nations
A Libyan rebel hanging a pre-Gadhafi flag in Beghazi. Should Libya split into two, they might adopt it as their national flag. France gives the nod for a new government to exist.
by Joseph Ernest March 10, 2011
Newscast Media PARIS, France--A few weeks ago, this writer predicted that if oppressive leaders failed to heed the cry of the oppressed by stepping down, we would see more new nations form as they seek to break away from the oppressors. France has now set the stage for a split within Libya by recognizing the anti-Gadhafi rebel group National Transition Council and plans to open an embassy in Benghazi which is West of Tripoli.
The original article I wrote about this prediction can be found here.(pop-up) As a way to send a bold message to Gadhafi that another government within Libya is now being acknowledged, instead of his, France became the first country to formally recognize the rebels' newly created Interim Governing Council.
France acknowledges rebel government as the legitimate government of Libya
The question one must ask oneself is, why would a powerful government like France encourage the formation of a new government before Gadhafi is ousted? It is obvious that this is a contingency plan. If the rebels succeed in driving Gadhafi out of Libya, then they can form a new Libya. If however, they fail to drive him out, they can fall back on their newly-created government and break away from Gadhafi's rule by forming their own nation. This plan for secession is the subliminal message France is sending Gadhafi, that's why they are publicly endorsing a new government, within the existing government.
This also benefits the West in two ways: First, Gadhafi is left in a weakened state and becomes a less potent threat to the region. Second, they continue to use him as their useful puppet to pump oil. In essence they create a win-win situation where the rebels win by having a new nation, flag, constitution and national anthem, Gadhafi wins by staying in power and the West wins by benefiting from Libya's natural resources since he will owe his existence in power to the West.
The above-described scenario is a very practical and more cost-efficient way of dealing with a tyrannical or dictatorial regime. It recently happened in Sudan and there is a possibility of it repeating itself in Libya. The cost of war is minimized by splitting the country, and the return on investment (ROI) is that the weakened leader knows he could have been removed from power, but was allowed to rule, hence he feels indebted to his foreign masters, by doing their dirty work for them. This could mean giving foreign entities access to the country’s natural resources and assets, government contracts, it could also mean foreign entities would purchase goods at low rates from their useful puppet.
The weakened leader would also refrain from invading the newly-formed nation because he knows that those who weakened him would eventually oust him for good if he attempted any such move. It therefore creates someone with the appearance of being a leader, but is actually enslaved, for he cannot exercise absolute power without the fear of offending his masters who kept him in power. This mental enslavement then leaves such a leader in a perpetual state of arrested development for the rest of his life. Not only is it a setback to him, but also those who are under his rulership.
Libya now has two governments, and make no mistake, the British and the US approved this move and gave French President Nicholas Sarkozy the green light to pronounce and announce publicly that France is in support of the rebel government and recognizes its authority as the legitimate government of Libya. This will now force Gadhafi to come back to the table and negotiate.
The West could then tell Gadhafi: "Listen, we know you are power-hungry. We know you do not want to step down. Here is the deal. You get to keep the western part of Libya with Tripoli as your capital. You also get to keep your wealth and are immune from prosecution for crimes against humanity. In return, you agree to the East breaking away and forming a new nation and government with Benghazi as their capital city. The choice is yours. You can either spend your life in a West Libya with honor, or you can spend it as a refugee in a foreign land once we oust you."
An offer like that would be too good for even a madman to refuse. For secession to be successful, the oppressed have to have a governing structure in place as proof that should they be allowed to break away from the oppressors, they can govern themselves. What we see with the National Transitional Council in Libya is a hand-picked government that was obviously approved by the US, France and Britain. Once all the backgrounds of the members in the new government checked out, it was legitimized by the announcement from Sarkozy.
Secession can be avoided if leaders realize that they do not own the countries they rule, but they are there to serve the citizens over whom they rule. Because dictatorial regimes have the inability to see the benefit of allowing a newer generation to be ushered in, they orchestrate their own demise, and at the end of their regimes they end up leaving office in disgrace. The very citizens who were once convinced that these rulers were a blessing when they first came to power, are the same ones who end up cursing these leaders as they face their impending doom. Read or Add Comments>>
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