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More Speculation About Hillary Clinton's plans for 2012/2016
by Joseph Ernest October 19, 2010
Newscast
Media -- There is growing speculation over what Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's
role might be in the Obama administration in 2012. According to a Bloomberg
poll conducted recently, she topped the list of the
most popular political figures in the U.S., garnering a 64 percent
approval rating. In the same poll President Barack Obama
came in third at 53 percent, with his wife taking second place.
This has caused some pundits and political analysts to second-guess whether she might replace Joe Biden in 2012 and run on the Obama ticket, or for president in 2016.
This national conversation started when CNN's John King asked Bob Woodward about the rumour that Obama would do a switch and make Clinton his running mate instead of Biden. "It's on the table," Woodward replied. "And some of Hillary Clinton's advisers see it as a real possibility in 2012. President Obama needs some of the women, Latinos, retirees that she did so well with during the 2008 primaries. So they switch jobs and not out of the question," he added. Woodward also suggested that the real focus of the US Secretary of State is 2016. "Hillary Clinton could run in her own right in 2016 and be younger than Ronald Reagan when he was elected president," he said. This ad by a Chicago Hillary Clinton supporter says it all
However, even though both scenarios look attractive to Democrats, there is the Michelle Obama factor. It is speculated that one of the reasons Hillary Clinton was not on the 2008 Obama ticket was because Michelle Obama didn't feel comfortable with her. The fact that Bill Clinton is her husband and former US president would have created a power struggle between her husband and Mrs.Clinton. Keep in mind that both Hillary Clinton and Michelle Obama are alpha females, so it makes sense that Mrs. Obama would prefer someone like Joe Biden as opposed locking horns with Mrs. Clinton who is "all things alpha." It is therefore unlikely that Biden will be replaced by Clinton in 2012. Another scenario would be for Clinton to challenge Obama directly due to her popularity with Democrats. The problem with that argument is that it would cause a division amongst Democrats who would view her as someone attempting to oust the first black president, and if the Democrats loyal to Obama just decide to stay at home, it would guarantee a Republican landslide victory. The third possible scenario would be for Clinton to run in 2016. However, this scenario would also present its own challenges because by that time there will be younger Democrats with less baggage that she might have to face. Experts believe that one of the reasons Democrats jumped ship in 2008 and joined Obama's camp was because they wanted someone fresh, who many viewed as an outsider, and that's how Obama presented himself to them. Today, a lot of Obama voters are now suffering from buyer's remorse because of all his broken promises. One also has to remember that if the Republicans nominate a strong candidate who ends up winning in 2012 and is able to turn the economy around, voters are unlikely to vote for a Democrat in 2016, because their memory of the current economic crisis would still be on their minds. The November mid-terms are a prelude to how politicians are viewed by their own constituents, and the rise of the Tea Party movement is an avalanche that even George Soros admitted is an unstoppable force to be reckoned with. Add Comments>>
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