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Part I - Why attacking Iran would be US-Israel mission impossible



  by Joseph Earnest  December 11, 2011


Newscast Media WASHINGTON, D.C. — Tensions between Israel and Iran continue to rise, and inevitably the U.S. will be dragged into the conflict, therefore the events that are unfolding in the Persian Gulf are worthy of close examination. What is clear is that Israel intended to launch an attack on Iran with or without the green light from its allies.  What is not clear is whether such an attack is now even possible, considering the recent developments in the region.


As reported and broadcast by Iranian media, a US RQ-170 Sentinel spy drone was downed by Iran and displayed for the world to view. The U.S. claims the Sentinel malfunctioned and downed itself.  However, that explanation is highly unlikely because the drone would have crashed to the ground at high impact, destroying most of the vehicle.  Iran says that drone was shot from the sky, yet they did not explain what equipment was used to shoot the unmanned vehicle, and how the drone could still be in mint condition with no apparent damage.  Experts hypothesize that it was Iran's electronic warfare unit that downed the drone through hacking, and subsequently gaining control over it, allowing it to be safely landed on Iranian soil.


Even if the Iranians were able to jam the satellites that control the drone and configure its functionality then safely land it, they would not publicize such information, and that's the biggest problem the West is facing right now.  Any plans to attack the Islamic Republic have been thwarted, and it would be foolish for any country to go to war with an adversary that they are not familiar with. Washington and Jerusalem are yet to figure out how the drone was intercepted yet it was supposed to be the most sophisticated spy plane in the world.  We can therefore deduce that if the most sophisticated plane could easily be captured by Iran, then they have technologies that are a just as sophisticated or even more sophisticated, than the U.S. and Israel had initially thought.  You do not rush into war with such an enemy, unless you fully understand the enemy's modus operandi.


In 2006, during the Israel-Hezbollah war, the Israelites underestimated their adversaries, and found themselves in for a big surprise.  Iran had sent some of its engineers to assist Hezbollah in operating the war equipment.  Using an unmanned drone, Iran disabled and overrode the Israeli warship INS Hanit's defense mechanism, leaving it open to attack.  An Iranian version of a reverse-engineered Chinese missile was launched, and the C-802 missile bombed the Israeli warship.  The Iranians accomplished two important undertakings.  First they used a drone that evaded the ship's radar, to disarm the ship; then they used the C-802 to attack the defenseless vessel. Below is the video of the attack on Israel's warship:


You can clearly see Israel's Hanit blow up after the C-802 is launched and recorded in real time


According to veteran journalist Joseph Trento who has spent more than 35 years as an investigative journalist, Washington and Jerusalem were startled by the attack. Iran had succeeded in launching an attack using Hezbollah as a proxy army, and Israel saw the attack coming, but could not do anything to stop it.


The missile that hit the Hanit was an Iranian-made variant of a stealthy, turbojet-powered, Chinese weapon. It's considered along with the US Harpoon as among the best anti-ship missiles in the world.

"We've never seen anything like this," one Western intelligence official told Trento, speaking about the warhead.  According to Joseph Trento, who secured a meeting with a Pentagon source, he asked one CIA official what the United States knew about the C-802. The answer was not reassuring: "The U.S. doesn't have one. We don't know how to defend [against] it."

How Iran disabled Israel's Warship defense system

Because the C-802 is a variant of a Chinese missile, it is reasonable to assert that Iran also developed the technology that disarmed Israel's warship, based on the Chinese model or blueprint of such technology.  According to the Department of Defense (DOD), High-Power Microwave (HPM) Weapons also called Radio Frequency Weapons (RFWs) or E-bombs, which are non-nuclear devices that can be used to disable the electronic circuits of nearby enemy civilian and military systems, are suspected to be part of China's arsenal.  This explains how after the Chinese sold the Iranians the missiles, they could have also passed on this technology since Iran is a strong ally.


An electromagnetic warhead detonated within lethal radius of a surface combatant will render its air defense system inoperable, as well as damaging other electronic equipment such as electronic countermeasures, electronic support measures and communications. This leaves the vessel undefended until these systems can be restored, which may or may not be possible on the high seas.

So far, the U.S. admits it has no defense on the seas against the C-802, and Washington is still alarmed as to how the world's best stealth plane was captured, which is a sign that they had undermined Iran's aerial capabilities.  Without the knowledge of how the drone was captured, and without knowing how to defend itself against the C-802, it is very unlikely that the U.S. and Israel go to war with Iran with that missing information, as some are predicting.

Some other reasons are: (i) Every stealth fighter including the B2 bomber would have to be rebuilt and coated with a more technologically advanced material on the outside to render it undetectable. (ii) The U.S. would have to rapidly develop technologies to counter the C-802, if it plans to fight on the seas. (iii) Developing, testing and perfecting such technologies takes years to accomplish, not months.

(iv) China has said that it will defend Iran if attacked to protect its interests. 

(v) The U.S. has acknowledged China's might in this document prepared by the Congressional Research Service, and outlines problems it faces if confrontation with China occurs. (pop-up)

(vi) A new alliance may form between Russia, China, Iran, Pakistan and even North Korea.  With such nuclear arsenal of East vs. West, even a power-hungry president would have to be a crazy lunatic, to engage such a formidable alliance.

There are some who claim Obama will start a war late in summer of 2012 with Iran to convince his voters that he is a strong president.  It is highly unlikely that these technologies will be developed and perfected within 10 months for him to be able to pull off such a stunt.  Without knowing how the Iranians downed the drone, and how to counter such future mishaps, one cannot develop a defense system and be 100 percent cocksure that it will be impenetrable by the enemy's camp.

Remember, Iran has been preparing for war with the U.S. for over a decade, and seems to be more prepared for an attack than any other country the U.S. has ever encountered. Attacking Iran will be no cake-walk, and as someone who has not only been in a war zone, but also lived in it, I can tell you from personal experience that war is hell.  Find out more on Part II about the ongoing Iran-US war game >>

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